AP Statistics : How to use the multiplication rule

Study concepts, example questions & explanations for AP Statistics

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Example Questions

Example Question #101 : Ap Statistics

Charlene has 7 blue chips, and Karen has 5 green ones. They decide to mix them up in a bag, then Karen will pick 5 chips and Charlene gets the rest.

 

What is the likelyhood Karen ends up with 5 chips of the same color?

 

Possible Answers:

Correct answer:

Explanation:

There are 2 ways Karen gets 5 chips of the same color: she gets all 5 greens, or 5 blues. there is only 1 way to get all 5 greens: probability of which can be calculated as;

to calculate p(allblue) we use:

since order doesn't matter and chips are being drawn without replacement, this is an acceptable calculation and summing them yields 

Example Question #102 : Ap Statistics

A ninja is training for his super secret mission, throwing grappling hooks at targets ft away. He has determined over the last practice session, that he makes his shot roughly % of the time. What is the maximum number of shots the ninja will need to take to have a % chance of hooking his grapnel?

Possible Answers:

Correct answer:

Explanation:

Total likelihood of making the shot = sum of likelihood of making 1st shot+2nd shot+...

1st shot=

2nd shot=.

3rd shot=

4th=

5th=

6th=

Example Question #103 : Ap Statistics

Frank of the forest is a monkey man who was raised by chimpanzees from a very young age. He enjoys swinging with his monkey friends. When Frank jumps from one tree to another, the chance that he falls increases by 10% for every foot he jumps past his armspan of 3 feet. (he has a 10% chance of falling at 4ft)

One day, Frank watches his monkey friends do  jumps, one ft, one ft, another ft, one ft, a ft jump, another two ft jumps, and then a ft jump

Frank knows from experience not to take a jump route if the likelihood of him falling goes above %. At what point in this -jump route should Frank stop and rest?

Possible Answers:

After  jumps, before the ft jump

Frank can finish this route, none of the jumps have above a % chance of falling

After  jumps, before the last ft jump

After  jumps, before the ft leap

After  jumps, before the two ft jumps

Correct answer:

After  jumps, before the last ft jump

Explanation:

This is multiplication rule. let's calculate the chance frank doesn't fall.

For the first jump this is , the first two is , first 3: , first 4:, first 5:, first 6:, first 7:.

Since the 7th jump drops his survival rate below % (his fall rate above 60%) we would caution Frank to stop after his 6th jump, even if the 7th jump isn't that far

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