All AP Statistics Resources
Example Questions
Example Question #12 : Independent And Dependent Events
The probability that there will be an accident on Highway each day is determined by the weather. If it's a dry day, there is a % chance of an accident, and a % chance if it's a wet day. The radio says that there is a % chance of rain today. What is the probability that there will be an accident on Highway today?
The chance of an accident is dependent on the weather conditions, so that is the first branch on the tree diagram.
The probabilities at the next branch are conditional and the last two branches have the chance of accident.
and ,
so the total probability of an accident is .
Example Question #11 : Independent And Dependent Events
There is a sample of 100 randomly selected children (60 of which are boys and 40 are girls). They were asked if they liked to play football. 55 boys answered yes to the question and 5 of the girls aswered yes to the question. What is the probability that a child said yes to the question give that they are a boy?
The conditional probability formula is the probability of both events happening divided by the probability of the given event. The probability of saying "yes" and also being a boy is . The probability of being a boy in the sample is . So = = .
Example Question #12 : Independent And Dependent Events
There are 10 horses in a herd. 4 are males, 6 are females. 7 of the horses are brown while the remaining 3 are white. 5 female horses are brown. A horse is randomly selected from the herd. Given that the horse is brown, what is the probability that the horse is a male?
The probability of any event occurring is the number of outcomes in which case that event occurs divided by the number of total number of outcomes. Here you know that the total number of brown horses is 7, and if 5 of those brown horses are female then 2 must be male. So the probability that a brown horse is male is 2/7.
Example Question #1 : How To Apply Conditional Probability
There are 10 horses in a herd. 4 are males, 6 are females. 7 of the horses are brown while the remaining 3 are white. At least 1 male horse is white and 5 female horses are brown.
One horse is selected at random from the herd. What is the probability of selecting a female horse given that the horse selected is white?
Cannot be determined by the information given.
This question asks for the probability of an event given that one event has occurred, meaning it is a conditional probability. The equation for a conditional probability is:
It is important to properly assign the A and B variables according to the question. It helps to read the equation out loud: "The probability of A given B equals the probability of A and B divided by the probability of A."
We need to find the probability of a female given that the horse is white. Therefore, female horse is A, white horse is B.
So, find each probability needed for the equation.
If 6 of the 7 females are brown, then 1 horse out of 10 is a white female horse.
Now, use the information to solve the equation.
Alternatively you could simply count out the number of favorable outcomes: there are 6 total female horses and 5 are brown, so that leaves 1 white female horse (the "favorable outcome" here). And there are 3 total white horses. So if you know that you're selecting from the pool of 3 white horses and only 1 is female, the probability of choosing a female white horse from that set is 1/3.
Example Question #1 : Random Variables
Which of the following is NOT a discrete random variable?
Number of midterms taken in a 10-week course
Amount of money in a savings account
All of these answers are discrete variables
Number of lip products in a girl's makeup bag
Time taken to watch the first 4 seasons a TV show
Time taken to watch the first 4 seasons a TV show
By definition, a discrete random variable is a random variable whose values can be "counted" one by one. A continuous random variable is a random variable that can take any value on a certain interval. Of these choices, the number of lip products, the amount of money, and the number of midterms taken are all discrete random variables, as the respective values can be counted; however, the time taken to watch the first four seasons of a TV show is a continuous random variable, as not everyone will take the same amount of time to watch all those episodes (i.e. some might fastf-orward/replay parts of episodes).
Example Question #2 : Random Variables
Police estimate that 85% of drivers do not text and drive. They set up a safety roadblock at a busy intersection to check for this infraction.
What is the probability that the first texter is in the thirteenth car stopped?
None of the other answers
This question pertains to the concept of Geometric Probability Distribution, which states that the probability of trials until the first success is as follows:
In this equation, is the probability of success (in this case, a driver caught texting), and is the probability of failure.
In this particular problem, , and . To calculate the probability of finding that the first driver caught texting is in the thirteenth car stopped, we can calculate . The final answer is .
Example Question #1 : Random Variables
During a week's worth of soccer practice, a player practices total free kicks and has a chance of scoring. What is the probability that he or she scored at least times? Assume each shot is independent.
Two steps are crucial here.
First, we need to recognize this is a binomial distribution with and .
Second, we need to realize we can use a normal approximation of the binomial since and , which are both larger than 5.
With that said, we can calculate a -score and its -value, keeping in mind that our mean will be and our standard deviation will be , which is about .
Example Question #2 : Random Variables
Suppose you are throwing three darts and you have a one third chance of hitting the bull's eye. Each throw is independent of one another. What is the chance of hitting the bull's eye at least once?
To calculate Prob(at least one bull's eye), we can instead compute one minus the complementary probability, P(no bull's eye).
So we have P(at least one bull's eye)=1-P(no bull's eye).
The chance of getting no bull's eyes is .
This means the probability of getting at least one bull's eye is
Example Question #3 : Random Variables
A particle travels left with probability one sixth and right with probability five sixths. Each movement is independent of the others. What is the chance that after three movements, the particle ends up one unit to the right?
The movements that this particle can make include: RRL, RLR, LRR.
The chance of getting RRL is . This is also the chance of getting any of those movements.
To get the total probability, we can add up the individual probabilities since the events are all mutually exclusive.
Thus, we get the following as the solution.
Example Question #4 : Random Variables
If you flip a biased coin, which has a chance of being heads and of being tails, until you get a head, what is the chance that it takes five flips until you get a head?
To calculate this probability, we need to calculate the chance of getting 4 tails and then a head.
Each tail has a prob. of and a head is , so we multiply to the power of 4 (because we need 4 tails) by (for the single head).
So the probability is
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