GMAT Math : DSQ: Calculating discrete probability

Study concepts, example questions & explanations for GMAT Math

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Example Questions

Example Question #21 : Discrete Probability

Two dice are thrown; one is fair, one is loaded, but each has the usual numbers 1-6 on its faces. What is the probability of the outcome being a sum of 2?

Statement 1: The loaded die will come up 1 with probability .

Statement 2: The loaded die will come up any of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 with probability  each.

Possible Answers:

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Correct answer:

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

The two statements are actually equivalent; if the loaded die comes up any of 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 with probability , then it will come up 1 with probability , which is exactly the same assertion as Statement 1 makes.

A sum of 2 can only come up one way: a pair of ones. If you know either statement, then you can calculate the probability of tossing a 2 by multiplying , the probability of a die coming up a 1 on the fair die, by , the probability of a 1 coming up on the loaded die.

Example Question #22 : Dsq: Calculating Discrete Probability

Two dice are thrown; one is fair, one is loaded, but each has the usual numbers 1-6 on its faces. What is the probability of the outcome being a sum of 12?

Statement 1: The loaded die will come up 6 with probability .

Statement 2: The loaded die will come up 5 with probability .

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

The only way the sum of the two dice can come up 12 is a pair of sixes, so the only probabilities that count are those of each die coming up 6; Statement 2 is therefore irrelevant to the problem. If you are given Statement 1, however, then you can calculate the probability of tossing a 12 by multiplying:

Example Question #71 : Arithmetic

One hundred marbles, 75 red and 25 white, are distributed equally between two boxes, denoted Box 1 and Box 2. Box 1 contains 30 red marbles. 

One box is chosen at random, and one marble is chosen at random from that box. What is the probability that the marble chosen will be white?

Possible Answers:

Correct answer:

Explanation:

Box 1 will contain  white marbles; Box 2 will contain  white marbles.

The probability of choosing Box 1 is , and the probability of choosing a white marble from this box is , making the probability of choosing Box 1, then a white marble, .

 

The probability of choosing Box 2 is , and the probability of choosing a white marble from this box is , making the probability of choosing Box 2, then a white marble, .

 

The overall probability of choosing a white marble is the sum of these probabilities:

Example Question #71 : Arithmetic

You are given two boxes, each with an equal number of marbles. All of the marbles are red or white. Are you more likely to draw a red marble at random from Box 1 or from Box 2?

Statement 1: Two-thirds of all the marbles are red. 

Statement 2: Half the marbles in Box 2 are red.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Since both boxes contain the same number of marbles, the one with the most red marbles offers us the greater probability of drawing a red marble. For simplicity's sake, assume that each box contains thirty marbles - these arguments will be valid whatever the number.

From Statement 1, it follows that two-thirds of sixty, or forty, marbles total are red, but either box can contain more than the other.

From Statement 2, it follows that fifteen marbles in Box 2 are red, but no information about Box 1 follows.

From both statements, however, it follows that there are fifteen red marbles in Box 2 and twenty-five red marbles in Box 1, so Box 1 has more red marbles and offers the greater chance of drawing a red marble.

Example Question #21 : Dsq: Calculating Discrete Probability

You are given two boxes of marbles, all either red or white. Are you more likely to draw a red marble at random from Box 1 or from Box 2?

Statement 1: Each box contains the same number of red marbles.

Statement 2: Box 2 contains twice as many white marbles as Box 1.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

If only Statement 1 is assumed, there is no way of knowing which box offers the highest probability of drawing a red marble, since there is no way to tell which box has the higher portion of its marbles red without knowing how their numbers of white marbles or their total numbers of marbles compare. A smiliar argument holds for Statement 2 alone.

If both statements are known, however, each box has the same number of red marbles, and Box 2 contains more marbles overall - this makes Box 1 the box with the highest portion of its marbles red, and the box that offers the greater chance of drawing a red marble in a random draw.

Example Question #1052 : Data Sufficiency Questions

Two dice are thrown and their sum is noted. One is fair and one is loaded but both have the usual numbers 1-6 on their faces. Which, if either, is greater - the probability of tossing a 3 or the probability of tossing an 11?

Statement 1: The probability of tossing a 2 on the loaded die is 0.2.

Statement 2: The probability of tossing a 5 on the loaded die is 0.3.

Possible Answers:

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

A 3 can be rolled only by tossing a 1-2, but the loaded die can be either the 1 or the 2; similarly, an 11 can be rolled only by tossing a 5-6, but the loaded die can be either the 5 or the 6. We know only the probability of the loaded die coming up 2 and that of it coming up 5; we do not have this information for 1 or 6. We explore two cases and compare the probabilities of rolling a 3 and rolling an 11.

Case 1: Suppose the loaded die will come up 1 with probability 0.1 and 6 with probability 0.3. The probabilities of rolling a 3 or a 11 are, respectively:

and

making 11 the more likely outcome.

Case 2: Suppose the loaded die will come up 1 with probability 0.3 and 6 with probability 0.1. The probabilities of rolling a 3 or a 11 are, respectively:

and 

making 3 the more likely outcome.

Therefore, the two statements together provide insufficient information to answer the question.

Example Question #74 : Arithmetic

Some balls - some completely red, some completely yellow, the rest half red and half yellow - are placed in a large box, and a ball is drawn at random. Which probability is greater - the probability of drawing a ball that is at least partly red, or the probability of drawing a ball that is at least partly yellow?

Statement 1: The ratio of balls that are half red and half yellow to balls that are completely red is .

Statement 2: The ratio of completely yellow balls to completely red balls is 

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Let  be the balls that are completely red, completely yellow, and bicolored, respectively; let  be the total number of balls. Then the probabilities of drawing a ball with some red and drawing a ball with some yellow are, respectively,

 and 

For the former probability to be greater than the latter, we can use some algebra to reveal:

That is, the former probability is greater than the latter if and only if there are more completely red balls than yellow balls. Similarly, the former probability is less than the latter if and only if there are fewer completely red balls than yellow balls. 

Therefore, Statement 1 is irrelevant; Statement 2, which compares the number of completely red balls and completely yellow balls, gives us our necessary and sufficient information.

Example Question #3172 : Gmat Quantitative Reasoning

Two fair dice are tossed. What is the probability that the difference of the two numbers will be 1?

Possible Answers:

Correct answer:

Explanation:

The difference of the two dice will be 1 in case any of the following outcomes occur:

This is ten outcomes out of a possible 36, so this yields a probability of 

.

Example Question #25 : Discrete Probability

For Data Sufficiency questions, select either A, B, C, D, E based on the following rubric:

  • A) statement 1 alone is sufficient, but statement 2 alone is not sufficient to answer the question
  • (B) statement 2 alone is sufficient, but statement 1 alone is not sufficient to answer the question
  • (C) both statements taken together are sufficient to answer the question, but neither statement alone is sufficient
  • (D) each statement alone is sufficient
  • (E) statements 1 and 2 together are not sufficient, and additional data is needed to answer the question

When a delectable baked treat is selected at random from the baker's case, what is the probability that it will be kirsch flavored?

1. One half of the treats are peanut-butter flavored.

2. There are one third as many kirsch treats as peanut-butter treats.

Possible Answers:

D

C

A

B

E

Correct answer:

C

Explanation:

Remember, you do not have to SOLVE the data sufficiency problems.  In other words, you do not have to calculate the exact probability of getting a kirsch-flavored (cherry liquor) treat.  You just need to determine how many of the statements are NECESSARY to derive the answer.

The first statement by itself is not sufficient, because knowing that half of the treats are peanut butter flavored does not tell you the proportion that are kirsch flavored.

The second statement is not sufficient, because comparing the proportion of kirsch treats to peanut-butter treats won't help you find the probability of getting a kirsch treat unless you know the ratio of peanut-butter treats in the case.

But, if we put the two pieces of information together, we can solve the problem.  Statement 1 tells us the proportion of peanut-butter treats, and statement 2 tells us how many kirsch treats there are compared to peanut-butter treats.

Therefore, the correct answer is C.

Example Question #1061 : Data Sufficiency Questions

Anna is about to pick a fruit for her snack from a basket of apples and oranges. What is the probability Anna picks an apple?

(1) The basket contains  fruits.

(2) Half of the fruits in the basket are oranges.

Possible Answers:

C: BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient

 

B: Statement (2) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (1) ALONE is not sufficient

E: Statements (1) and (2) TOGETHER are not sufficient

A: Statement (1) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (2) ALONE is not sufficient

D: EACH statement ALONE is sufficient

 

Correct answer:

B: Statement (2) ALONE is sufficient, but statement (1) ALONE is not sufficient

Explanation:

Let P(A) be the probability of Anna picking an apple and P(O) be the probability of Anna picking an orange. We need to evaluate each statement individually first:

(1) gives us the total number of fruits, but no indication as to the number of each fruit, so we cannot determine probabilities form (1) alone

(2) gives us the proportion of oranges. Let N be the total number of fruits, A the number of apples and O the number of oranges. We have:

 We also know that .

We can rewrite this last equation as follow:

 or 

We know that P(A) = A / N and from statement (2) we get

 which we can simplify to find P(A)

Therefore the right answer is B.

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