GMAT Math : DSQ: Calculating discrete probability

Study concepts, example questions & explanations for GMAT Math

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Example Questions

Example Question #3181 : Gmat Quantitative Reasoning

Holly took nine cards out of a standard 52-card deck. Did she take out more red cards than black, or vice versa?

Statement 1: Holly ran 100 experiments using the modified deck, each involving a shuffle and a draw; she drew a red card 45 times.

Statement 2: Susan ran 100 experiments using the modified deck, each involving a shuffle and a draw; she drew a red card 44 times.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Explanation:

The statements together do not provide a definitive answer. The question addresses theoretical probability, but the two statements together provide empirical results. While the two experiments strongly suggest that Holly removed mostly red cards, it is entirely possible for these results to happen with an evenly distributed deck, or even one which has all of its red cards left.

Example Question #91 : Arithmetic

Julie altered a coin. Did the probability of a toss of the coin coming up heads increase or decrease?

Statement 1: The probability that, if the coin is tossed five times, all five tosses will result in heads increased.

Statement 2: The probability that, if the coin is tossed five times, all five tosses will result in tails decreased.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

The probability of a single toss of a fair coin coming up heads (or tails) is ; the probability of five such outcomes in a row is .

Assume Statement 1 alone. Let  be the probability that a single toss of the coin will come up heads. The probability of five such outcomes in a row will be , which is greater than  by Statement 1. Therefore,

,

The probability of one toss of the coin coming up heads increased.

If Statement 2 alone is assumed, a similar argument shows that the probability of one toss of the coin coming up tails decreased - which, of course, is the equivalent outcome.

Example Question #92 : Arithmetic

Nelson altered a six-sided die. Did the probability that it would come up a 6 increase, decrease, or stay the same?

Statement 1: The probability that the altered die will come up an odd number is 

Statement 2: The probability that the altered die will come up a "2" or a "4" is .

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Statement 1 alone only gives the probability that any of three rolls, "1", "3", or "5", comes up, but it does not give us the probability of a "2" or a "4". The reverse holds for Statement 2. Neither alone gives us the complete picture.

From the two statements together, it can be deduced that the probability of the die not coming up a "6" is the sum , so the probability of the die coming up a "6" is . Since the probability of the die coming up "6" was  before it was altered, the alteration increased this probability.

Example Question #93 : Arithmetic

Tetra_1

Note: Figure NOT drawn to scale.

The prism in the above figure is a cube. Give the surface area of the tetrahedron with vertices , shown in red.

Statement 1: The cube has surface area 150.

Statement 2: The cube has volume 125.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

From either statement, the length of one edge of a cube can be determined:

If the surface area is 150, then 

If the volume is 125, then 

Either way, since the length of each edge is known to be 5, the area of each of , and  can be calculated by multiplying one half by the product of the legs - that is, one half by the square of 5. 

Also, since the three triangles are all right triangles with the same leg lengths, by the Side-Angle-Side Theorem, they are congruent, and their diagonals are as well - this makes  equilateral. Also, since each triangle is a right isosceles triangle, by the 45-45-90 Theorem, each hypotenuse can be calculated by multiplying 5 by . Therefore, the sidelength of  can be calculated, and its area can be determined. 

Therefore, each statement alone is enough to yield the area of each face - and the total surface area.

Example Question #94 : Arithmetic

A box contains both red and white marbles. More red and white marbles are put in. Did the probability that a randomly drawn marble is red increase, decrease, or stay the same?

Statement 1: The box originally had an equal number of red and white marbles. 

Statement 2: Half the marbles added were white.

Possible Answers:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

From Statement 1 alone, the probability of drawing a red number from the box before the addition of more marbles can be calculated - it is  - but no clue as to the number of red or white marbles in the box after the addition is provided. Statement 2 alone gives no clue about the numbers of marbles before or after the addition.

The two statements together provide sufficient information. If half the marbles in the box before the addition are red, as given in Statement 1, and half the marbles added are red - half the marbles are white, from Statement 2, and no other colors were added - then half the marbles in the box after the addition are red, and the probability remains  .

Example Question #95 : Arithmetic

Andrea altered a six-sided die. Did the probability that it would come up an odd number increase, decrease, or stay the same?

Statement 1: The probability of a roll of the die coming up a "2" or "4" increased.

Statement 2: The probability of a roll of the die coming up a "4" or a "6" increased.

Possible Answers:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Explanation:

We show that the two statements together provide insufficient information by looking at two scenarios.

Case 1: Andrea's alterations increased the probability of each individual even outcome. 

As a result of this, the total probability of any even outcome happening must increase, so that of an odd outcome must decrease.

Case 2: Andrea's alterations make the probabilities of the even outcomes as follows:

In an unaltered die, the probability of a roll resulting in a "2" or a "4" is . In this scenario, Andrea's alteration results in the probability if this event being

 .

This scenario satisfies the conditions of Statement 1. By a similar argument, it satisfies the conditions of Statement 2 also.

The probability that the roll will come up even is the sum of these probabilities:

The total probability of any even outcome happening must decrease, so that of an odd outcome must increase.

 

 

Example Question #96 : Arithmetic

Violet altered a six-sided die. Did the probability that it would come up a "6" increase, decrease, or stay the same?

Statement 1: If this altered die and a fair die are rolled, the probability of a sum of "12" coming up is .

Statement 2: If this altered die and a fair die are rolled, the probability of a sum of "11" coming up is .

Possible Answers:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question. 

Correct answer:

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Let  and  the probabilities of rolling a "5" or a "6", respectively, on the altered die.

Assume Statement 1 alone. There is only one way to roll a die so that its sum comes up a "12" - a double "6". Since the probability of rolling a "6" on the fair die is , by the multiplication principle, the probability of rolling a double six with the fair die and the die that Violet altered is . Since this is equal to , we solve for :

This is the probability of an unaltered die coming up a "6", so Violet's alterations did not affect the probability of a "6" coming up.

Assume Statement 2 alone. The only way to roll an "11" with two dice is to roll a "5" and a "6" - however, either number can be rolled on the altered die. The probability that a "5" is rolled in the altered die and a "6" is rolled on the fair die is ; the probability of the reverse outcome is . The total probability of rolling an "11" is , so the equation is

and

Since the probability of rolling either a "5" or a "6" on a fair die is , this probability has decreased, but without further information, we cannot determine which probability has decreased - that of rolling a "5", a "6", or both.

Example Question #97 : Arithmetic

A box contains both green and blue marbles. More green and blue marbles are put in. Did the probability that a randomly drawn marble is green increase, decrease, or stay the same?

Statement 1: After the marbles were added, there were twice as many blue marbles as green.

Statement 2: Six of the marbles added were green. 

Possible Answers:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Explanation:

Assume both statements are true. Let  and  be the number of green and total marbles added, and  and  be the number of green and total marbles in the box after the addition. 

From Statement 1, there were twice as many blue marbles as green after the addition, so green marbles comprised one-third of the marbles; therefore, the probability of drawing a green marble after the addition was .

The probability of drawing a green marble from the box before the addition is  

.

From Statement 1, , and from Statement 2, , so the probability of drawing a green marble before the addition was

.

However, since no clue is given as to how many blue marbles were added - that is, the value of  - it cannot be determined whether this is greater than, equal to, or less than . Consequently, whether the addition of the marbles increased, decreased, or left unchanged the probability of drawing a green one cannot be determined.

Example Question #41 : Dsq: Calculating Discrete Probability

Corinne replaced a card in a standard 52-card deck with the joker. What happened to the probability that a randomly-drawn card would be a black card - did it change or did it stay the same?

Statement 1: The card Corinne replaced was a jack.

Statement 2: The card Corinne replaced was a diamond.

Possible Answers:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Since the number of cards in the deck remained unchanged, the probability of a random draw resulting in a black card changed if and only if the number of black cards was changed - that is, if the card Corinne replaced with the joker was a black card. Statement 2 alone, but not Statement 1 alone, answers that question.

Example Question #99 : Arithmetic

A box contains both white and black marbles. More white and black marbles are put in. Did the probability that a randomly drawn marble is white change?

Statement 1: Two thirds of the marbles in the box were white before the marbles were added.

Statement 2: Seven of the marbles added were white.

Possible Answers:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are insufficient to answer the question. 

Statement 2 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 1 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

Statement 1 ALONE is sufficient to answer the question, but Statement 2 ALONE is NOT sufficient to answer the question.

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

EITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Correct answer:

BOTH statements TOGETHER are sufficient to answer the question, but NEITHER statement ALONE is sufficient to answer the question.

Explanation:

Neither statement alone is enough to answer the question, since neither alone yields clues as to the ratio of white marbles to black both before and after the addition.

Assume both statements hold. From Statement 1 alone, the probability of drawing a white marble was  before the addition. The probability of drawing a white marble remains  if and only if  of the marbles added were white. If this had happened, since, by Statement 2, seven of the marbles added were white, then the total number of marbles  added could be calculated by solving for :

However, the number of marbles must be an integer. Therefore, for the conditions of both statements to hold, it is impossible for the probability of drawing a white marble to have remained the same.

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