Evidence in Text

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1

Sociologist Erin Wallace claims that in U.S. public high schools from 2005–2015, expanding access to Advanced Placement (AP) courses increased overall college enrollment primarily by changing peer norms: when more students take AP classes, college-going becomes a more widely shared expectation. Wallace argues the effect is strongest in schools where AP participation becomes common across social groups, not confined to a small elite. Which finding, if true, would most directly support Wallace’s claim?

College enrollment rose most in schools where AP enrollment broadened across cliques and demographics, and surveys showed stronger perceived “college-for-all” norms.

Schools that added AP courses saw higher average AP exam scores, especially among students already earning top grades.

From 2016–2020, states that subsidized community college tuition experienced higher enrollment than states that did not.

Students who took more AP classes were more likely to enroll in college, even after controlling for prior test scores.

Explanation

Sociologist Erin Wallace claims that in U.S. public high schools from 2005–2015, expanding Advanced Placement (AP) access increased college enrollment primarily by shifting peer norms toward widespread college expectations, with strongest effects when AP participation spans social groups. To support this claim, evidence would need to link broadened AP enrollment across demographics to higher college-going rates and explicit norm changes. Choice B directly supports Wallace’s claim by showing college enrollment rose most in schools with AP broadening across cliques, accompanied by stronger 'college-for-all' norms, matching the mechanism and timeframe. This emphasizes norm shifts over mere participation increases. Choice A focuses on exam scores among top students, not enrollment or norms, while Choice C discusses tuition subsidies unrelated to AP. Choice D correlates AP classes with enrollment but doesn't address norm changes or social breadth. In sociological evidence, verify support by ensuring findings address the claimed mechanism, like peer norms, rather than just correlations.

2

Historian Daniel Ibarra claims that the rapid spread of printed political pamphlets in London between 1640 and 1642 significantly increased political polarization by exposing readers to increasingly one-sided arguments, rather than by increasing overall political participation. He argues that pamphlet content became more ideologically uniform within factions over this short period, leading readers to adopt more extreme positions. Which discovery would most strongly undermine Ibarra’s theory?

Court records indicate that arrests for seditious speech rose in 1642, concentrated in neighborhoods with many printers.

A catalog shows pamphlet print runs increased in 1641, but most titles were religious sermons without political content.

Parish registers show higher voter turnout in 1642 in districts where pamphlet stalls were common.

A diary sample shows readers of multiple pamphlet factions reported moderating their views after comparing opposing arguments in 1641.

Explanation

Historian Daniel Ibarra claims that the spread of printed political pamphlets in London from 1640 to 1642 increased political polarization by exposing readers to increasingly one-sided arguments within factions, leading to more extreme positions, rather than by boosting overall participation. To undermine this theory, evidence would need to show that pamphlet exposure led to moderation of views or increased participation without polarization, directly contradicting the one-sided extremism mechanism. Choice C strongly undermines Ibarra’s theory by indicating that readers who engaged with multiple pamphlet factions moderated their views after comparing arguments, suggesting pamphlets reduced rather than increased polarization. This directly challenges the claim of escalating extremism through uniform content. Choice A notes increased print runs but specifies non-political content, which doesn't address political pamphlets' effects, while Choice B shows arrests for seditious speech, potentially supporting polarization without disproving it. Choice D highlights higher voter turnout, which aligns with increased participation but doesn't negate the polarization claim. When evaluating evidence that undermines a historical argument, look for findings that invert the predicted outcome, like moderation instead of extremism, rather than merely related trends.

3

Historian Mateo Alvarez contends that a sharp rise in piracy in the western Mediterranean between 1610 and 1630 was driven mainly by demobilized sailors after a major conflict ended, rather than by increased trade volume. Which finding, if true, would most directly challenge Alvarez’s claim?

Court records describe pirates using new coastal hideouts, but they rarely mention the prior military service of captured crews.

Ship manifests list more high-value cargoes, but the number of reported pirate attacks remains unchanged in the eastern Mediterranean.

Customs ledgers show trade tonnage doubled from 1610 to 1630 while naval payrolls stayed stable and desertion rates fell.

A 1650 sermon blames piracy on moral decline and luxury imports, without referencing recent wars or discharged soldiers.

Explanation

The historian claims that the 1610-1630 piracy rise was driven mainly by demobilized sailors after a conflict ended, not by increased trade volume. To challenge this, we'd need evidence showing either that demobilized sailors weren't the main cause or that increased trade was the main cause. Choice A directly challenges the claim by showing trade doubled while naval forces stayed stable with low desertion—this suggests increased trade targets drove piracy, not an influx of unemployed sailors. Choice B mentions new hideouts but doesn't address the cause of increased piracy. Choice C discusses moral explanations from 1650, outside the relevant timeframe. Choice D shows unchanged piracy in a different region (eastern Mediterranean), not the western Mediterranean in question. To challenge a causal claim about what drove an increase, look for evidence supporting an alternative cause or contradicting the proposed cause.

4

Literary scholar Amira Okafor argues that in Toni Morrison’s novels, recurring water imagery functions primarily as a symbol of communal memory rather than personal purification, and that this meaning is emphasized when water appears in collective settings (rivers, public baths, storms affecting neighborhoods). Which quotation would best support Okafor’s argument?

"The river carried their names the way the elders did—passed along, repeated, and kept from disappearing."

"He feared the lake because it was deep, not because it meant anything beyond its coldness."

"Rain fell on her alone, and she took it as a private blessing that no one else could understand."

"I washed my hands until they were raw, hoping the water could make me someone new."

Explanation

The scholar argues that Morrison's water imagery symbolizes communal memory rather than personal purification, emphasized in collective settings like rivers and public baths. To support this, we'd need a quotation showing water connected to shared, collective memory. Choice B perfectly supports this: 'The river carried their names the way the elders did—passed along, repeated, and kept from disappearing' explicitly links water (river) to communal memory preservation across generations. Choice A shows water as personal transformation ('make me someone new'), supporting individual purification instead. Choice C denies symbolic meaning entirely ('not because it meant anything'). Choice D describes water as a private, individual experience. In literary analysis questions, match the symbolic interpretation to textual evidence that explicitly demonstrates that meaning in the claimed context.

5

Archaeologist Selim Haddad hypothesizes that a newly excavated coastal settlement (dated 900–1100 CE) was primarily a seasonal fishing camp rather than a permanent town, based on its small hearths and limited storage pits. Which discovery would most strongly undermine Haddad’s hypothesis?

Fish bones dominate the faunal assemblage, especially species that migrate nearshore during late summer months.

Large, insulated dwellings with repaired floors show multiple rebuild phases, alongside year-round plant remains from different seasons.

Charcoal analysis indicates repeated use of local driftwood, consistent with short stays by groups with limited fuel access.

A cluster of net weights and hooks appears near the shoreline, with little evidence of long-distance trade goods.

Explanation

The archaeologist hypothesizes this was a seasonal fishing camp based on small hearths and limited storage, not a permanent settlement. To undermine this, we'd need evidence of year-round occupation or permanent structures. Choice A strongly undermines the hypothesis by showing large, insulated dwellings with repaired floors (indicating permanent structures), multiple rebuild phases (suggesting long-term occupation), and year-round plant remains from different seasons (proving continuous occupation). Choice B supports the fishing camp idea with seasonal fish remains. Choice C shows fishing equipment, consistent with either interpretation. Choice D's driftwood use and limited fuel access actually supports temporary occupation. Archaeological evidence of permanent structures and year-round occupation directly contradicts claims of seasonal use.

6

In a study of second-language reading, psychologist Andrés Mehta proposes that short, daily retrieval practice (brief quizzes) improves vocabulary retention more than rereading because retrieval practice strengthens recall pathways rather than familiarity. Which finding, if true, would most directly challenge Mehta’s claim?

Quizzed students outperform rereaders on delayed recall even when both groups spend the same total study time.

On a delayed recall test, quizzed students outperform rereaders only when they also receive extra sleep education.

Quizzed and rereading groups show equal delayed recall, but rereaders show faster recognition of the same words.

Students who reread passages report higher confidence in knowing words than students who take daily quizzes.

Explanation

Mehta's claim is that retrieval practice (quizzing) improves retention more than rereading specifically because it strengthens recall pathways rather than familiarity. To challenge this, we'd need evidence showing either that quizzing doesn't produce better recall, or that the benefit isn't due to strengthened recall pathways. Choice C directly challenges the claim by showing that quizzed and rereading groups have equal delayed recall (contradicting the superiority of quizzing for retention), while rereaders show faster recognition (suggesting they may have stronger familiarity pathways, contradicting Mehta's mechanism). Choice D would actually support Mehta's claim by showing quizzing's superiority. Choice A addresses confidence, not actual performance. When evaluating challenges to mechanistic claims, look for evidence that either disproves the outcome (equal performance) or contradicts the proposed mechanism (familiarity vs. recall pathways).

7

Historian Celeste Armand claims that between 1890 and 1910, a key driver of declining membership in certain U.S. fraternal lodges was the spread of employer-sponsored leisure clubs, which offered similar social benefits with fewer dues and less time commitment. Which discovery would most strongly undermine Armand’s theory?

Company leisure clubs expanded most rapidly after 1920, while fraternal lodge membership had already stabilized by 1910.

Lodge meeting minutes from 1890–1910 repeatedly cite rising initiation fees as the primary reason members resigned.

A 1905 survey shows most lodge members also joined employer clubs, reporting they valued having two social circles.

In cities with many factories, newspapers printed more advertisements for recreational events than in smaller towns.

Explanation

Armand's theory claims that employer-sponsored leisure clubs drove declining lodge membership between 1890-1910 by offering similar benefits with lower costs. To undermine this theory, we'd need evidence showing either that the timing doesn't match (clubs didn't expand when lodges declined) or that a different factor caused the decline. Choice A directly undermines the theory by showing that company leisure clubs expanded most rapidly after 1920, which is after the 1890-1910 period when lodge membership supposedly declined due to these clubs—if the clubs weren't prevalent during the decline, they couldn't have caused it. Choice C actually supports a competing explanation (rising fees) but doesn't directly contradict Armand's theory since both factors could contribute. Choice D shows coexistence of both memberships, which doesn't necessarily undermine the claim about declining lodge membership. In historical causation questions, pay close attention to chronology—causes must precede their supposed effects.

8

In a 2022 article on urban ecology, researcher Lina Chen argues that in large North American cities, planting diverse native flowering species along road medians reduces summer surface temperatures primarily by increasing evapotranspiration (not by shading), with the strongest effects during midday heat. Which finding, if true, would most directly support Chen’s hypothesis?

In small rural towns, roadside wildflower strips increase insect abundance but show no measurable change in pavement temperature.

Median plantings of native flowers show higher midday leaf transpiration rates and larger temperature drops than equally shaded gravel medians.

Neighborhoods with more street trees report lower electricity bills, though tree canopy varies widely block to block.

A survey finds drivers prefer flowering medians to concrete barriers, citing aesthetics and perceived calmness.

Explanation

The researcher claims that diverse native flowering species in road medians reduce summer temperatures specifically through evapotranspiration (water release from plants), not shading, with strongest effects at midday. To support this, we'd need evidence showing that flowering medians produce measurable evapotranspiration and temperature reduction during peak heat hours. Choice B directly supports this by showing native flower medians have higher transpiration rates and larger temperature drops than equally shaded gravel medians—this isolates the evapotranspiration effect from shading since both have equal shade. Choice A addresses street trees (not median flowers) and doesn't isolate evapotranspiration from shading effects. Choice C only addresses driver preferences, not temperature mechanisms. Choice D shows no temperature change in rural towns, which actually contradicts the hypothesis. When evaluating support for a specific mechanism claim, look for evidence that isolates that mechanism from other possible causes.

9

Economist Hana Okoye contends that in small coastal fisheries, adopting community-enforced catch shares reduces overfishing mainly by increasing peer monitoring (fishers observe and sanction one another), not by changes in market prices. Which observation would best support Okoye’s argument?

In a neighboring region without catch shares, fish biomass increases following a three-year period of cooler ocean temperatures.

After catch shares begin, reported rule violations fall most in villages with the highest rates of inter-household visits.

After catch shares begin, average dockside fish prices rise, and total fishing effort declines in the same months.

After catch shares begin, large commercial vessels reduce trips more than small boats, despite identical quota rules.

Explanation

Okoye contends that catch shares reduce overfishing mainly through increased peer monitoring (fishers observing and sanctioning each other), not through market price changes. To support this, we'd need evidence showing that peer monitoring mechanisms are active and effective after catch shares begin. Choice B directly supports this by showing that rule violations fall most in villages with the highest rates of inter-household visits—this suggests that communities with more social interaction (enabling peer monitoring) see the greatest compliance improvements. Choice A mentions price changes, which Okoye explicitly argues are not the main mechanism. Choice D addresses vessel size differences but doesn't connect to peer monitoring. Choice C is about a different region without catch shares, making it irrelevant to testing Okoye's claim. When evaluating support for social mechanism claims, look for evidence that the proposed social process (peer monitoring) correlates with the desired outcome (reduced violations).

10

Political scientist Omar Iqbal claims that in proportional-representation elections, higher voter turnout among 18–24-year-olds increases the vote share of small, issue-focused parties because young voters are more willing to support niche platforms. Which finding, if true, would most directly undermine Iqbal’s claim?

Across elections, youth turnout correlates with higher overall turnout, but party vote shares remain stable.

In a majoritarian electoral system, higher youth turnout is associated with increased support for third-party candidates.

Exit polls show 18–24-year-olds prefer major parties at the same rate as older voters in high-turnout elections.

Small parties gain vote share in elections with more televised debates, regardless of youth turnout levels.

Explanation

Iqbal claims that in proportional-representation elections, higher youth turnout increases small party vote share because young voters prefer niche platforms. To undermine this claim, we'd need evidence showing that young voters don't actually prefer small parties more than older voters when they turn out. Choice B directly undermines the claim by showing that 18-24-year-olds prefer major parties at the same rate as older voters in high-turnout elections—this contradicts the core assumption that young voters are more willing to support niche platforms. Choice A shows stable party shares but doesn't specifically address youth preferences. Choice C identifies a different factor affecting small parties. Choice D actually supports a version of Iqbal's claim but in a different electoral system. When evaluating claims about demographic voting patterns, direct evidence about that demographic's actual preferences most effectively confirms or undermines the argument.

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