Setting Up Tests for Population Proportion

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AP Statistics › Setting Up Tests for Population Proportion

Questions 1 - 10
1

A restaurant chain reports that 70% of customers rate their experience as “satisfied” or “very satisfied.” A random sample of 150 customers is surveyed, and 96 give a satisfied rating ($\hat{p}=0.64$). Which hypotheses are appropriate for determining whether the reported proportion is accurate?

$H_0: p=0.70\quad H_a: p\ne0.70$

$H_0: p\ne0.70\quad H_a: p=0.70$

$H_0: p=0.64\quad H_a: p\ne0.64$

$H_0: p=0.70\quad H_a: p<0.70$

$H_0: \hat{p}=0.70\quad H_a: \hat{p}\ne0.70$

Explanation

The skill assessed is setting up hypotheses for testing a reported proportion of 0.70 in AP Statistics, to determine accuracy. The hypotheses H0: p = 0.70 and Ha: p ≠ 0.70 fit a two-sided test for verifying the exact value, as in choice A. A distractor is choice D, substituting ˆp for p. Choice C uses a one-sided alternative, unsuitable for accuracy checks. For a mini-lesson, use ≠ in Ha for assessing reported or exact values to allow rejection for any difference. Null includes equality to the reported figure, about p. This setup evaluates if the proportion matches without directional bias.

2

When performing a one-sample z-test for a population proportion, which condition justifies using a normal distribution to model the sampling distribution of the sample proportion?

The expected number of successes and failures are both sufficiently large.

The data are collected from a simple random sample.

The sample size is less than 10% of the population size.

The population from which the sample is drawn is approximately normal.

Explanation

The use of a normal model for the sampling distribution of a sample proportion is justified by the Large Counts condition, which states that $$np_0 \ge 10$$ and $$n(1-p_0) \ge 10$$. The random condition ensures the sample is representative, and the 10% condition ensures independence. The population does not need to be normal for proportions.

3

An environmental scientist is studying a specific fish species in a small, isolated lake containing 120 of these fish. The scientist wants to test a hypothesis about the proportion of fish with a certain genetic marker. A simple random sample of 20 fish is captured. Why is a one-sample z-test for a proportion potentially inappropriate in this situation?

The sample was not random, so the results may be biased.

The sample size is more than 10% of the population, violating the independence condition.

The population size is too small to yield a valid p-value.

The sample size of 20 is too small to apply the Central Limit Theorem.

Explanation

The 10% condition states that when sampling without replacement, the sample size $$n$$ should be no more than 10% of the population size $$N$$ to ensure independence between observations. Here, the sample size is $$n=20$$ and the population is $$N=120$$. Since $$20 > 0.10(120) = 12$$, the 10% condition is violated.

4

A researcher wishes to test whether the majority of adults in a large city prefer coffee over tea. A random sample of 300 adults from the city will be surveyed. What is the parameter of interest for this significance test?

The number of adults in the city who prefer coffee over tea.

The mean number of cups of coffee preferred by adults in the city.

The proportion of the 300 sampled adults who prefer coffee over tea.

The proportion of all adults in the city who prefer coffee over tea.

Explanation

A parameter is a value that describes a characteristic of a population. The researcher is making a claim about 'the majority of adults in a large city,' which refers to the entire population of the city. The characteristic of interest is the proportion who prefer coffee. The sample proportion is a statistic used to estimate this parameter.

5

A city's mayor claims that more than 60% of residents are in favor of a new public park initiative. To test this claim, an independent polling agency conducts a survey of a random sample of residents. Let $$p$$ represent the true proportion of residents who favor the initiative. Which of the following are the correct null and alternative hypotheses?

$$H_0: p > 0.60$$ vs. $$H_a: p = 0.60$$

$$H_0: p = 0.60$$ vs. $$H_a: p \ne 0.60$$

$$H_0: p = 0.60$$ vs. $$H_a: p > 0.60$$

$$H_0: \hat{p} = 0.60$$ vs. $$H_a: \hat{p} > 0.60$$

Explanation

The null hypothesis ($$H_0$$) represents the status quo or the boundary of the claim, stated with equality. The alternative hypothesis ($$H_a$$) represents what the researcher is trying to find evidence for, which in this case is that the proportion is 'more than 60%.' Therefore, $$H_0: p = 0.60$$ and $$H_a: p > 0.60$$ are the correct hypotheses.

6

A national poll claims that 45% of adults have a favorable opinion of a certain policy. A local community leader believes the proportion in their town is different. A random sample of 200 town residents is surveyed. Which statement correctly identifies the inference procedure and null hypothesis?

A one-sample t-test for a mean should be used with $$H_0: \mu = 0.45$$.

A one-sample z-test for a proportion should be used with $$H_0: p \ne 0.45$$.

A one-sample z-test for a proportion should be used with $$H_0: p = 0.45$$.

A two-sample z-test for proportions should be used with $$H_0: p_1 - p_2 = 0$$.

Explanation

The problem involves testing a claim about a single population proportion (the proportion of adults in the town with a favorable opinion). Thus, a one-sample z-test for a proportion is appropriate. The null hypothesis is based on the national claim, representing the status quo, so $$H_0: p = 0.45$$.

7

A student wants to test if a coin is biased towards landing on heads. The student flips the coin 40 times. Which of the following is a required condition to perform a valid one-sample z-test for the proportion of heads?

The sample size of 40 must be less than 10% of all possible coin flips.

Assuming the coin is fair, the expected number of heads and tails must both be at least 10.

The number of heads and tails observed in the 40 flips must both be at least 10.

The population of all possible coin flips must be approximately normal.

Explanation

The Large Counts condition for a significance test requires using the hypothesized proportion $$p_0$$. To test if a coin is biased, the null hypothesis is that it is fair, so $$H_0: p = 0.5$$. The expected counts are $$40(0.5) = 20$$ heads and $$40(0.5) = 20$$ tails. Since both are at least 10, the condition is met. Using observed counts is incorrect.

8

A political campaign wants to test the claim that the proportion of registered voters in a city who support their candidate is 0.55. They survey a simple random sample of 400 voters. Which of the following is the most appropriate statistical test for this investigation?

A one-sample t-test for a population mean

A chi-square test for goodness-of-fit

A two-sample z-test for a difference in population proportions

A one-sample z-test for a population proportion

Explanation

The scenario involves a single categorical variable (support for the candidate) from one population (registered voters in the city). The goal is to test a claim about a single population proportion. Therefore, a one-sample z-test for a population proportion is the appropriate procedure.

9

A political analyst claims that exactly 50% of adults in a state approve of the governors performance. A random sample of 1000 adults finds that 540 approve (so $

\hat{p}=540/1000$). Which hypotheses are appropriate to test whether approval differs from the analysts claim?

$H_0: p\ne 0.50$; $H_a: p=0.50$

$H_0: p=0.50$; $H_a: p>0.50$

$H_0: \hat{p}=0.50$; $H_a: \hat{p}\ne 0.50$

$H_0: p=0.50$; $H_a: p\ne 0.50$

$H_0: p=0.54$; $H_a: p\ne 0.54$

Explanation

This question tests setup for testing if approval differs from exactly 50%. Correct choice A: H0: p = 0.50 and Ha: p ≠ 0.50, for two-sided testing. Distractors use sample p-hat = 0.54 in H0, like option B, or p-hat in C. Option D reverses H0 and Ha. Mini-lesson: 'Differs from' calls for ≠ in Ha, checking both directions. Equality is always in H0, about p. Sample proportion is for the z-test, not hypotheses.

10

A school principal believes that the proportion of students who eat school breakfast is different from 55%. In a random sample of 200 students, 124 report eating school breakfast (so $

\hat{p}=124/200$). Which hypotheses are appropriate for testing the principals belief using a one-proportion $z$ test?

$H_0: p=0.62$; $H_a: p\ne 0.62$

$H_0: p=0.55$; $H_a: p\ne 0.55$

$H_0: p\ne 0.55$; $H_a: p=0.55$

$H_0: p=0.55$; $H_a: p>0.55$

$H_0: \hat{p}=0.55$; $H_a: \hat{p}\ne 0.55$

Explanation

This question tests hypothesis setup for a principal's belief that the proportion of students eating breakfast differs from 55%, requiring a two-sided test. The correct hypotheses are H0: p = 0.55 and Ha: p ≠ 0.55, as in choice B, matching the 'different from' claim. A distractor is using the sample p-hat = 0.62 in H0, like option A, which confuses sample with population. Option C reverses H0 and Ha, violating the rule that H0 includes equality. Mini-lesson: For two-sided tests, Ha uses ≠ to check for any difference, while one-sided tests use < or >. Hypotheses focus on p, the unknown population proportion. The sample data informs the test statistic but not the hypotheses statements.

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