Parameters for a Binomial Distribution
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AP Statistics › Parameters for a Binomial Distribution
What is the variance of X?
0.1
1.34
1.8
2
Explanation
The scenario is a binomial setting with n=20 and p=0.1. The question asks for the variance, not the standard deviation. The variance is calculated as $$\sigma^2 = np(1-p) = 20(0.1)(0.9) = 1.8$$.
Which of the following statements provides the best description of these parameters?
The mean is the number of trials n, and the standard deviation measures how much the probability of success p can be expected to vary from trial to trial.
The mean is the most likely number of successes in one set of n trials, and the standard deviation is the maximum possible deviation from this value.
The mean is the long-run average number of successes over many sets of n trials, and the standard deviation measures the typical variation of the number of successes around this average.
The mean is the probability of success on a single trial, and the standard deviation is the measure of variability of that probability over n trials.
Explanation
The mean or expected value of a random variable is defined as the long-run average of its outcomes over many repetitions. The standard deviation measures the typical or average distance of the outcomes from that mean. The other options misinterpret the definitions of mean, standard deviation, n, and p.
How do the standard deviations of X and Y compare?
The relationship cannot be determined without more information.
The standard deviation of X is greater than the standard deviation of Y.
The standard deviation of X is less than the standard deviation of Y.
The standard deviations of X and Y are equal.
Explanation
The standard deviation of a binomial variable is $$\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}$$. For X, $$\sigma_X = \sqrt{50(0.3)(1-0.3)} = \sqrt{50(0.3)(0.7)} = \sqrt{10.5}$$. For Y, $$\sigma_Y = \sqrt{50(0.7)(1-0.7)} = \sqrt{50(0.7)(0.3)} = \sqrt{10.5}$$. The standard deviations are equal because the product p(1-p) is the same for p=0.3 and p=0.7.
What is the expected number of red marbles and the standard deviation of the number of red marbles?
Expected Value = 4, Standard Deviation = 2.4
Expected Value = 6, Standard Deviation = 1.55
Expected Value = 6, Standard Deviation = 2.4
Expected Value = 4, Standard Deviation = 1.55
Explanation
The scenario describes a binomial setting with n=10 and p=0.6. The expected value (mean) is $$\mu = np = 10(0.6) = 6$$. The standard deviation is $$\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{10(0.6)(0.4)} = \sqrt{2.4} \approx 1.55$$.
If the inspector's sample size were increased to 2000 items, what would be the new mean and standard deviation of the number of defective items?
Mean = 60, Standard Deviation = 15.24
Mean = 60, Standard Deviation = 7.62
Mean = 15, Standard Deviation = 7.62
Mean = 60, Standard Deviation = 3.81
Explanation
The new sample size is n = 2000 and the defect rate is p = 0.03. The new mean is $$\mu = np = 2000(0.03) = 60$$. The new standard deviation is $$\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{2000(0.03)(0.97)} = \sqrt{58.2} \approx 7.62$$. Note that quadrupling the sample size (from 500 to 2000) quadruples the mean and doubles the standard deviation.
A shipment contains many boxes of cereal. A consumer group randomly selects 20 boxes to check a promotional code inside each box. A success is finding a valid code, and the probability a box contains a valid code is $0.95$ (assume independence). Which values of $n$ and $p$ correctly model the number of successes with a binomial distribution?
$n=20,\ p=0.95$
$n=0.95,\ p=20$
$n=95,\ p=0.20$
$n=20,\ p=\dfrac{1}{95}$
$n=20,\ p=0.05$
Explanation
This tests binomial parameter identification for valid codes in 20 boxes. $n=20$ and $p=0.95$ fit, as in choice D. Distractors: A uses complement $0.05$, B swaps, C scales wrongly, E reciprocal. Binomial needs fixed trials $n$, success $p$ per trial, independence. This counts valid codes. High $p$ suggests many successes expected.
A researcher tests 10 seeds by planting each one and recording whether it germinates (success) within 7 days. For this type of seed, the probability of germination is 0.65 under the same conditions, and the researcher treats each seed’s outcome as independent. Let $X$ be the number of seeds that germinate. Which values correctly model this situation?
$n=7,\ p=0.65$
$n=0.65,\ p=10$
$n=10,\ p=0.35$
$n=10,\ p=0.65$
$n=65,\ p=0.10$
Explanation
This AP Statistics question evaluates understanding of binomial parameters, where n denotes the number of independent trials and p the probability of success on each. The researcher tests 10 seeds, establishing n = 10 as the trial count. Success is germination, given p = 0.65 under the conditions. Choice A serves as a distractor by using p = 0.35, which is the failure probability, if success is misidentified. A mini-lesson reminds us that binomial settings involve n fixed trials with success probability p, and independence with constant p; X counts successes like germinated seeds. The correct modeling uses n = 10 and p = 0.65, aligning with choice C.
A hospital screens 35 patients for a particular infection using a rapid test. A success is defined as a positive test result. For this group, the probability a patient tests positive is 0.08, and patient results are treated as independent. If $X$ is the number of positive test results, which values correctly model this situation (identify $n$ and $p$)?
$n=0.08,\ p=35$
$n=35,\ p=0.92$
$n=35,\ p=0.08\times 35$
$n=8,\ p=0.35$
$n=35,\ p=0.08$
Explanation
This medical screening scenario tests understanding of binomial parameters when success is a positive test result. With 35 patients screened (n = 35) and success defined as testing positive with probability 0.08 (p = 0.08), the correct answer is B. Students might be tempted to use 0.92 (probability of negative result) if they misunderstand what's being counted. The distractors include various misplacements of n and p values. In medical contexts, carefully identify whether you're counting positive or negative outcomes—here, success explicitly means a positive test, so p = 0.08. The binomial model applies because we have independent patient results with constant probability.
A delivery company audits 20 packages to see whether each arrives on time. A success is defined as an on-time delivery. Based on recent performance, the probability a package arrives on time is 0.81, and package outcomes are treated as independent. If $X$ is the number of on-time deliveries in the audit, which values correctly model this situation (identify $n$ and $p$)?
$n=20,\ p=0.81\times 20$
$n=20,\ p=0.19$
$n=81,\ p=0.20$
$n=0.81,\ p=20$
$n=20,\ p=0.81$
Explanation
This delivery audit problem illustrates binomial parameter identification when success is on-time delivery. The company audits 20 packages (n = 20), and success is defined as on-time delivery with probability 0.81 (p = 0.81), making D the correct answer. A common error would be using 0.19 (probability of late delivery) for p, but since we're counting on-time deliveries, we need p = 0.81. The distractors attempt various confusions including using 81 as n or unnecessary calculations. Remember: in a binomial distribution, n is the fixed number of trials and p is the probability of the specific outcome defined as success.
A genetics lab runs 18 independent trials of a chemical reaction. A success is defined as the reaction producing a visible color change. Under current conditions, the probability of a color change on any trial is 0.30. If $X$ is the number of trials with a color change, which values correctly model this situation (identify $n$ and $p$)?
$n=18,\ p=0.30$
$n=18,\ p=0.70$
$n=2,\ p=0.30$
$n=0.30\times 18,\ p=0.30$
$n=0.30,\ p=18$
Explanation
This genetics problem tests understanding of binomial parameters in a scientific context. The lab runs 18 independent trials (n = 18), and success is defined as producing a visible color change with probability 0.30 (p = 0.30), making A the correct answer. Choice B incorrectly uses the complement probability (0.70), while other choices confuse the roles of n and p or perform unnecessary calculations. When identifying binomial parameters, n is always the fixed number of trials, and p is always the probability of the outcome you're counting. The independence assumption and fixed probability across trials confirm this is a binomial setting.